4. Preparing for Future Disasters

CRED’s new challenges

Having served as CRED’s director since 1992, Professor Guha-Sapir believes that CRED also needs to evolve in light of the changing nature of disasters. In the past, research was conducted within silos, with experts in physics, atmospheric physics, meteorology, and climatology, working independently. However, CRED is taking a more collaborative approach, breaking down disciplinary barriers and integrating expertise from different fields to generate better data and research outcomes.

Professor Guha-Sapir has launched a new project to investigate the causes of death in humanitarian crises. This research will go beyond simply counting the number of deaths and delve into the underlying causes of mortality in large-scale humanitarian crises, such as natural disasters, armed conflicts, and religious persecution. In many countries, death certificates are only issued for about one-third of deaths, and most do not specify the cause of death. To effectively address humanitarian crises, it is essential to obtain a more accurate understanding of the causes of death, whether from infectious disease, malnutrition, injury, heart disease, or other chronic conditions.

Professor Guha-Sapir believes that pursuing cross-disciplinary research and investigating the causes of death are crucial challenges for CRED moving forward.

A meeting about flood prevention structure

A meeting about flood prevention structure

A meeting in Benin (2015)

A meeting in Benin (2015)

Private life

Professor Guha-Sapir enjoys listening to music and gardening as hobbies. She grew up listening to traditional Indian music live, and still makes time to attend live concerts as much as possible. In the garden, she finds solace and tranquility in watching plants grow, wither, and come to life again.

Her partner, André Sapir, is an economist. Despite their different fields of study, they share a deep understanding of each other as fellow researchers. André's perspective as an economist sometimes gives Debby unexpected insights into her own work. He once suggested that she investigate the occupational characteristics of those affected by the famine. For example, during times of food scarcity, a barber’s services become less essential, making barbers among the first to face significant hardships. The same poverty can have vastly different impact depending on one’s occupation. André brought a completely different perspective to her field of public health. Debby holds André in deep respect for his unique perspective.

André describes Debby as a creative, adaptable, and very optimistic individual.

He remembers the time when Debby returned home from a field study in a refugee camp. Despite witnessing the harsh realities there, she spoke about the glimmers of hope she had found in such adversity. Amidst their busy lives, André finds solace in seeing his wife prepare various dishes in the kitchen on weekends. He takes pleasure in the enticing aroma that fills their home and the delicious food.

love of cooking

love of cooking

Message from Professor Guha-Sapir

“We need to understand that it is imperative to address the issues of people on the ground, especially in extreme climate conditions. While there have been numerous macro-level discussions and significant advancements such as electric cars and wind power, insufficient attention has been paid to improving the lives of those who are suffering on the ground. Local communities are at the forefront of climate change, despite not being responsible for its causes. Major Western countries bear responsibilities for climate issues, yet they are hesitant to provide adequate funding to poorer nations facing the brunt of climate change. We must substantially increase contributions to climate funds and demonstrate greater empathy for the plight of impoverished communities affected by floods, storms, and other disasters. Addressing the daily needs of people struggling with severely limited resources is crucial.”

“I think we must sit back and review what we have done for the last 30 years since the inception of COP. We have established an international framework and set specific targets for climate change and greenhouse gas emissions, but we have not seen any significant successes. Not only are we finding it difficult to limit the temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius, but we are also going backwards. We must acknowledge that the path we’ve been on may not have been the right one. We need to learn lessons from this and determine how we can safeguard those currently on the front lines of climate change. We must urgently seek more effective adaptation strategies that enable people to manage potential future disasters.”

“Additionally, we need to change our lifestyles. Over time, our lives have become exceedingly consumer based. A consumer-based society brings about not only climate-related issues but also various negative aspects. People living in Global North could reduce high levels of consumption of consumer goods and control food waste. Climate disasters are set to increase in the near future. We must adapt our lifestyles to protect the vulnerable in every country of the world – rich and poor. We can begin with educating children and young adults – who are the future of our world - on environmental and climate issues.”

Editorial supervisor
Nobuo Mimura, Professor Emeritus, Specially Appointed Professor, Ibaraki University
(Affiliation is at that time of release.)

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Professor Debarati Guha-Sapir

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